Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #11
Shelbyville Regional Rank #4
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 32.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Mt. Vernon Invitational Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Nike Twilight Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/4 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 256 207 225 242 243 198 217 257 291 278 341
Team Adjusted Rating 186 225 242 243 198 204 257 291 278 341
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Mt. Vernon Invitational Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Nike Twilight Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
13  Ahmed Saleh 12 15:50 16:20 15:59 15:52 16:03 15:57 15:47 16:06 16:01 16:13 16:03 15:44
92  Xaiden Jenson 12 16:29 16:59 16:39 16:25 16:28 16:08 16:38 16:24 16:20 16:49
149  Caden Cassada 11 16:43 16:52 16:26 16:26 16:24 16:15 16:41 16:43 16:46 16:43 16:49 17:23
160  Brayden Strantz 12 16:45 17:03 16:25 16:35 16:44 16:43 16:31 16:35 16:43 17:01 16:57 17:00
181  Landon Willis 12 16:51 16:51 16:48 16:55 17:10 16:32 16:42 16:41 16:56 16:56 16:58
267  Austin Baugh 11 17:05 17:12 16:15 16:37 16:59 17:05 17:05 17:11 16:42 17:05 17:15 18:02
301  Cooper Huntziker 11 17:11 16:52 17:01 16:45 17:29 17:33 16:59 17:24 17:28 17:02 17:29
382  Matthew Cousar 12 17:22 18:12 17:01 17:19 17:18 17:21 17:13 17:26 17:28
481  Tyler Tharp 11 17:37 18:06 17:30 17:21 17:57 17:31 17:52
613  Ryan Boldt 9 17:53 17:45 17:49 17:59 17:48 18:00 17:45 18:04
697  Dorian Hall 10 18:02 18:34 18:17 18:26 17:51 17:49 17:51 18:01 18:08
988  Landon Dayhoff 9 18:27 18:27 17:49 17:53 18:53 18:42 18:32 18:17
1,103  Logan Lockwood 10 18:36 18:58 18:22
Cooper Beattie 9 19:14 19:44 19:16 19:20 19:08 19:00 18:59 20:16
Colin DeArmond 10 19:38 18:33 19:06 18:46 20:57 19:57 19:33
Derik Moreno-Fierro 12 20:35 18:59 20:11 19:57 20:28 21:03 20:46 20:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 12.0 337 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.5 6.1 7.8 10.3 12.6 12.9 11.8 9.5 6.5 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.2 130 1.0 9.8 17.8 27.4 30.0 10.9 2.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.5 36 49.7 50.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ahmed Saleh 100% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.5 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.4 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.4 100.0%
Xaiden Jenson 100% 95.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.9%
Caden Cassada 100% 139.1 0.0 53.1%
Brayden Strantz 100% 147.6 0.0 44.6%
Landon Willis 100% 162.4 26.6%
Austin Baugh 100% 194.2 2.9%
Cooper Huntziker 100% 204.3 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ahmed Saleh 100% 3.5 0.3 17.0 23.0 18.0 13.8 9.9 6.6 4.3 2.4 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Xaiden Jenson 100% 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.7 5.3 4.8 4.9 5.1 4.8 3.9 4.2 3.5 3.4 3.2 100.0%
Caden Cassada 100% 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.7 100.0%
Brayden Strantz 100% 37.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.1 100.0%
Landon Willis 100% 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 100.0%
Austin Baugh 100% 62.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Cooper Huntziker 100% 70.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ahmed Saleh 1.0 89.5 8.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Xaiden Jenson 4.0 9.3 17.7 23.9 16.6 11.7 7.6 5.2 3.1 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caden Cassada 7.9 0.3 2.0 4.4 8.3 11.3 12.7 11.9 11.2 9.3 8.3 7.3 5.3 3.8 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Brayden Strantz 8.9 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.1 8.6 11.2 11.8 10.7 9.9 9.6 8.3 7.8 6.6 3.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Landon Willis 11.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.4 5.1 7.3 9.3 10.0 11.2 10.8 11.4 11.4 8.2 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Austin Baugh 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.8 3.5 4.9 6.0 8.2 12.2 16.7 13.9 12.0 8.3 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
Cooper Huntziker 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.6 4.1 7.4 10.5 15.3 14.9 15.1 10.9 7.5 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.7